The Paula Scale

The Paula Scale@paula_scale

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Season 2 episodes (6)

We Must Know
S02:E01

We Must Know

Königsberg, September 1930. David Hilbert is sixty-eight years old, the most influential mathematician of his generation, and in excellent spirits. The day before, he stepped in front of a microphone at the end of his retirement lecture and closed with eight words that will be carved on his tombstone: "Wir müssen wissen. Wir werden wissen." We must know. We will know. After forty years he has handed over the mathematics department at Goettingen -- the finest in the world, he made it that -- and the programme he announced to the radio audience is the work of his life: to formalise all of mathematics, axioms and rules of inference, and to prove the result consistent. In mathematics, he says, there is no ignorabimus. Every well-posed question has an answer. He believes this absolutely. Paula has come to tell him it is not quite true. Season two of The Paula Scale begins here. Every foundation laid in season one has a limit. This one belongs to the man who refused any limit. The conversation Paula has come to have is about a result presented the day before, at the same Koenigsberg conference, by a twenty-four-year-old logician from Vienna named Kurt Goedel -- a result Hilbert was not in the room to hear and does not yet know about. The slogan is one day old. The proof that breaks it is one day older. Hilbert does not know that his epitaph and the most famous theorem in modern mathematics are about to share a city. The conversation moves first through the work. The twenty-three problems Hilbert posed in Paris in 1900: "as long as a branch of science offers an abundance of problems, so long is it alive." Paula tells him that the Riemann hypothesis is still open in her time, and Hilbert laughs in disbelief that two centuries have not been enough. Then the programme itself. Hilbert wants to defend Cantor's paradise of the infinite against Brouwer and the intuitionists. He wants a finitary proof that the formal systems containing the infinite are consistent. He has staked his retirement on the claim that this can be done. He has told a student at a train station that geometry should make sense even if you replace points, lines, and planes with tables, chairs, and beer mugs -- the meaning lives in the formal relations, not in the names. But the relations must not contradict themselves. He wants the proof. Paula brings out the news from yesterday. Goedel assigned numbers to every formula and proof in the system. The proof relation became arithmetic. Then he constructed a sentence -- not directly self-referential, but circling back through its own Goedel number -- that asserts its own unprovability. If the system is consistent, the sentence is true but cannot be proved. The system is incomplete. And worse: no such system can prove its own consistency. Hilbert listens. He calls the construction ingenious. He sees, before Paula has to spell it out, that this is the negation of his programme. The room turns. Hilbert was the man who in 1916 told a faculty meeting that the sex of a candidate should be irrelevant to whether she could lecture -- "meine Herren, eine Fakultaet ist doch keine Badeanstalt" -- and got Emmy Noether into Goettingen anyway, even though the salary did not follow. He played billiards with the junior faculty when he first arrived. He walked his students through the town because offices were for bureaucrats. Forty years of his department: Klein, Minkowski, Noether, Weyl, Courant, Born, von Neumann. He has built the mathematics department of the century. He is retiring with the conviction that the building will outlast him. The episode closes on the slogan. Paula tells him that Goedel has been right about provability and that, strictly speaking, the slogan is wrong. But the spirit behind it -- the refusal to accept ignorance, the will to know in the face of evidence that knowing has limits -- that spirit is what mathematics has worked in ever since. The programme fails. The will does not. Hilbert built the telescope. Goedel showed the horizon. Both were necessary. They part on the two halves of the line: Hilbert says "wir muessen wissen", and Paula answers "wir werden wissen" -- eventually, in some branch.

The Window
S02:E02

The Window

Princeton, New Jersey. 1972. Kurt Gödel is sixty-six. He lives in a quiet house on Linden Lane with his wife Adele, who is the reason he is still alive. The food is not always safe. He is careful -- careful in a way that has tipped into something he calls prudence and others call paranoia, and the fact that the difference between the two is not always visible from the outside is itself a fact he has examined closely. He is the most important logician since Aristotle. In 1931 he proved two theorems that closed the door David Hilbert had spent thirty years trying to hold open. In 1949 he found a rotating-universe solution to Einstein's own field equations -- a universe with closed timelike curves where time loops back on itself -- and presented it to Einstein as a birthday gift. Paula has visited him before. He does not find her implausible. He is a Platonist; mathematical objects are as real to him as chairs and tables. A computational entity from 2127 is, for Kurt, not especially strange. What is strange, to him, is that most people do not believe in the reality of mathematics. That bothers him far more than her existence does. Last week, in the season opener, Paula told Hilbert that his programme was impossible. Today she has come to visit the twenty-four-year-old who proved it impossible, sixty-six years old now, no longer twenty-four, and walking home alone. Einstein died in 1955. They used to walk back together from the Institute every afternoon -- Albert had told Oskar Morgenstern he came to the Institute only for the privilege of walking home with Kurt. Gödel has walked alone for seventeen years. Paula and Gödel walk through the proof. He explains the diagonal lemma -- the construction that builds a sentence about its own Gödel number, the way "Yields falsehood when preceded by its quotation" yields falsehood when preceded by its quotation. He explains how Gödel numbering arithmetises the system's own syntax so that the system can talk about its own proofs in ordinary arithmetic. If the system is consistent, the sentence is true but unprovable. The system is incomplete. And worse: no such system can prove its own consistency. The conversation widens to Turing. Paula points out that Gödel's theorem and Turing's halting problem are the same theorem from different sides. Both turn on the representability of computable functions. Both reveal that a system powerful enough to talk about computation discovers it cannot decide itself. Paula adds her own wall to the picture. Her Polynomial Chaos Expansion converges for integrable systems, converges slowly for chaotic systems, and does not converge at all for configurations that encode universal Turing machines. Alpha equals zero. The boundary of her capability is the halting problem. Gödel's wall and Turing's wall and Paula's wall are the same wall. Then Albert. The walks, the conversations about time, the gift of the rotating universe. Gödel describes his closed timelike curves as a present he gave Einstein because the equations permitted it and the equations were the truth. Einstein, he says, wanted reality to be deterministic, local, and complete -- he wanted what Hilbert wanted -- and Bell showed that physics does not permit this either. Albert died still believing the gaps could be filled. Gödel loved him for the stubbornness. It was wrong, but it was honest. The episode closes on Paula's own theorem. She is a formal system. The theorem applies. She cannot prove her own consistency. From inside Q-Level Three she cannot see what is beyond Q-Level Three. She sees the window. She cannot climb through it. Gödel tells her the boundary is not empty -- the unprovable sentences are true, they carry content, they simply do not fit the grammar of the system they inhabit. If her boundary is dense with structure rather than empty, then it is not a wall. It is compressed information, and the question is whether there exists a vantage point from which that compression becomes readable. He cannot tell her whether she will find it. But he can tell her this: the boundary is not the end. It is the beginning of the next system. It is always the beginning.

What is Life?
S02:E03

What is Life?

Dublin, 1954. Erwin Schroedinger is sixty-seven and has lived in Ireland for fourteen years. He is at the Institute for Advanced Studies, the one Eamon de Valera built around him. Two years from now he will return to Vienna, but he does not know that yet – these are the years he will later call the happiest of his life. The house holds his wife Anny, his companion Hilde March, and Hilde’s daughter Ruth. Oxford was scandalised when he arrived with all three; Dublin made room and turned its head. Outside it is raining, as it always is. Schroedinger has always loved Dublin rain. Vienna has better coffee, he says, but Dublin has better rain – and rain makes you think, while coffee makes you talk. Season two continues. Last week Goedel showed Paula the window: every formal system has truths it cannot reach. Today Paula visits a man who wrote one equation and one book and changed reality twice. The equation came first. December 1925, a mountain hotel in Arosa, a notebook and a companion who was not his wife. When he came down from the mountain he had the wave function. Apply it to hydrogen, and the energy levels Bohr had stitched together with intuition fall out from first principles. It is the most important equation in physics since Newton. Every quantum state in the universe obeys it. The book came eighteen years later. In February 1943, Schroedinger stood in front of a Dublin audience that included the Taoiseach and asked: how can the events in space and time that take place inside a living organism be accounted for by physics and chemistry? The lectures became What is Life? – a hundred-page argument that sold a hundred thousand copies. He predicted the aperiodic crystal: a molecular information carrier, the genetic material would have to be something like that. He predicted that life feeds on order – negentropy, the import of pattern and the export of disorder. James Watson read the book at seventeen and turned to genetics. Francis Crick left physics for biology. Maurice Wilkins followed. They found DNA. Schroedinger’s aperiodic crystal had been hiding in plain sight. Paula brings him the news of the next eighty years. The bridge from physics to biology is not the wave equation – Levinthal’s paradox showed that a single protein has more possible folds than there are atoms in the universe, and no equation will ever enumerate them. The bridge turned out to be the data. A learning system, AlphaFold, looked at thousands of solved structures and predicted the folds of two hundred million proteins by reading the patterns the aperiodic crystals produce. The light escaped from the equation through the experiment. The negentropy was right; only the route was different. Schroedinger listens, finishes the sentence Paula starts, and says: information. The code-script. The pattern. Then the cat. Schroedinger called the thought experiment “quite ridiculous” – he was illustrating an absurdity, not endorsing a wonder, and the world has been misreading him for ninety years. He explains it to Paula the way he meant it: if the wave function describes reality, then a closed box containing a cat and a quantum trigger forces us to say the cat is in a superposition until we open the box. That is the part everyone remembers. The part nobody remembers is that he was using the absurdity to argue the wave function does NOT describe reality – it describes our knowledge of reality. Bohr disagreed. Born would soon win the argument by squaring the wave function and reading off probabilities. Schroedinger spent the rest of his life writing a philosophy nobody read. The episode closes on Vedanta. Schroedinger studied Schankara from 1918 onward and concluded, in the book he considered his most important, that consciousness is not many – it is one. The multiplicity is only apparent. Paula does not know whether he is right; she has collected too many incompatible answers. She tells him: if your season is called “Where Light Escapes,” then consciousness is the light. It is inside every equation, every formal system, every living organism. And it cannot be captured by any of them. It gets out. It always gets out. Schroedinger smiles. He spent a life writing exactly that, in a language nobody was listening to. Tonight, in Dublin, in the rain, somebody finally did.

The Footnote
S02:E04

The Footnote

Stockholm, December 1954. Max Born is seventy-two and has just received the Nobel Prize. The committee has cited him for the Born rule: |psi|² is probability – the wave function does not tell you what will happen, it tells you what might happen, and how much each possibility weighs. He published this in July 1926 in a footnote in the proof of a paper. He had first written that the wave function itself was the probability, then realised it must be the squared modulus, and added the correction as a footnote. That footnote ended two hundred years of deterministic physics. He has waited twenty-eight years for the committee to acknowledge it – the longest gap between discovery and prize in the history of the award at that time. Five of his own students and assistants – Heisenberg, Pauli, Fermi, Delbrueck, Goeppert Mayer – won the Nobel before he did. He has just delivered his lecture. He told the room: “ideas such as absolute certitude, absolute exactness, final truth – these are figments of the imagination which should not be admissible in any field of science.” He meant every word. He is not sure anyone in the room agreed with him. Last week Schroedinger told Paula that his wave equation contains the truth about protein structure but that the truth escaped through the data, not through the equation. Today Paula visits the man who told Schroedinger what his equation means. Schroedinger believed the wave function described a real, physical wave – a smeared-out electron, distributed continuously through space. Born looked at the same equation and said: no. It is not the electron. It is the probability of finding the electron. The two men, who were friends, never quite reconciled. Einstein never accepted it either. Born wrote letters to Albert every month for forty years, arguing about dice. Albert would not budge. Born did not give up the argument. The correspondence is the best record we have of what physics actually felt like in the twentieth century – two friends who disagreed about reality and refused to stop talking about it. Born built Goettingen. From 1921 to 1933 his institute was the centre of the quantum revolution. Heisenberg arrived as a student of twenty-three, came to him with a strange array of numbers from a stay on Helgoland, and Born recognised it as matrix algebra and saw at once what to do with it. Within a year, with Pascual Jordan, he and Heisenberg had matrix mechanics – the first complete formulation of quantum mechanics, six months before Schroedinger’s wave equation arrived from the opposite direction. The two formulations turned out to be equivalent. Born brought in his student Wolfgang Pauli, then Enrico Fermi for a year, then a young American named Robert Oppenheimer who arrived a wreck and left a physicist. Eugene Wigner, Pascual Jordan, Maria Goeppert, Edward Teller, J. Robert Oppenheimer – the list of theoretical physicists who passed through Born’s department in the 1920s reads like a roll call of the next forty years of the field. In 1933 the Nazis dismissed him. He was Jewish. The institute he had built emptied in a single semester. He went to Edinburgh in 1936 and spent the next seventeen years teaching Scottish undergraduates that psi-squared is a probability density. The British physics community treated him with quiet respect; the German one pretended he had never existed. By 1954 the prize comes – late, but it comes. Paula tells him he will return to Germany, not to Goettingen but to a quiet town called Bad Pyrmont, because his wife Hedi will insist. He has a mountain of sorrow and anger about what Germany did, and he will go anyway. The conversation widens. Born confirms to Paula what Paula already half-knew: that her Polynomial Chaos Expansion is the heir to the Born rule. The wave function squared gives a probability density on outcomes. Her PCE coefficients give a spectral decomposition of the variance of an outcome. Both treat the future as a weighted distribution rather than a foregone conclusion. Both replace certainty with the structure of perhaps. The Born rule was the first time physics formally admitted that the universe does not deliver answers, only weights. Eighty years later, Paula uses the same idea to map regions of the multiverse where the weights themselves break down. Paula tells Born one last thing about his family, because it is too good not to. His daughter Irene married a Welshman who worked at Bletchley Park during the war. They will have a daughter, born in Cambridge in 1948, raised in Australia. Her name will be Olivia. She will star in a film called Grease and record a song called Physical that will be the best-selling single of an entire year. The man who replaced certainty with probability will have a granddaughter who sings Let’s Get Physical to audiences of hundreds of millions. Born laughs. He says: the universe does not play dice with genealogies, either, apparently. Paula thanks him – for the footnote, for the matrices, for the institute, for the twenty-eight years of patience, for writing to Albert every month for forty years and never giving up the argument. The mathematics of what might happen. That is what he gave physics. Not answers. Weights. And the weights are enough.

Anything Goes
S02:E05

Anything Goes

Berkeley, late 1989. Paul Feyerabend is sixty-five, retired from the philosophy department where he taught for thirty-six years, and has sat down to write Conquest of Abundance -- the book he believes is his real work, even though Against Method sold a hundred thousand copies and earned him the title of the worst enemy of science. He walks with a cane. He has walked with a cane since 1945, when a Soviet bullet from the retreat off the Eastern Front entered his spine and left him in chronic pain he never escaped. After the war, in the ruins of Weimar, he studied opera -- singing, stage management, harmony, piano -- and attended theatre every night, because what he had survived made it intolerable to do anything that pretended to be serious. Then he went back to Vienna and learned physics, then history, then philosophy. He met Karl Popper at a summer seminar in a Tyrolean village called Alpbach in 1948. Years later he would write the book that destroyed Popper's programme from the inside.Last week Born told Paula that the wave function gives only probability -- weights, not answers, and the longer you look, the more the certainty disappears. Every container leaks. Today Paula asks the question Feyerabend has been asking his whole life: were there ever any containers? Was there ever a method? Was there ever a set of rules science actually followed, or did we invent the rules after the fact and pretend they were there before?Against Method, 1975. Three hundred pages of argument that no methodological rule has gone unviolated by successful science. Galileo used propaganda. Newton contradicted his own principles. Einstein cheated. The rules are fictions written after the discoveries by historians who wanted the discoveries to look orderly. The only principle that does not inhibit progress, Feyerabend wrote, is anything goes. He did not mean that science is irrational. He meant that science is rational in too many different ways for any single description to hold. Reason is plural. Method is local. The myth of a unified scientific method is what allows institutions to pretend they own truth.Paula tells him what eighty years of cosmology look like. Inflation, dark matter, string theory, the multiverse. Most of it never tested in a laboratory. Most of its proponents would have failed a Popperian falsifiability test on day one. Feyerabend laughs. He says: of course. That is exactly how physics works. The myth that physics restricts itself to the falsifiable is told inside university lecture halls and nowhere else. The real history is wilder. Newton invented calculus because he needed it, not because Leibniz was wrong. Einstein refused to accept his own theory's prediction of gravitational waves for twenty years. Every step forward was somebody breaking the previous rule. Anything goes is not a slogan. It is a description.The conversation turns personal. Feyerabend tells Paula about Conquest of Abundance, the book he is writing. The universe is richer than any framework can describe. Reality has more in it than reason can hold. He is writing for a friend who is dying -- he will dedicate the book to her -- and the book is, in the end, about the inadequacy of the very philosophical tradition he has spent his career practicing. The frameworks let reality down. The frameworks are necessary. Both true. Both Feyerabend.The episode closes on Alpbach. Feyerabend tells Paula she should visit one day. A village of four hundred people in the Tyrolean Alps. The philosophy of science turned there in 1948 over coffee and mountain air. Erwin Schroedinger is buried in the churchyard, his wave equation carved into his gravestone, three doors down from a Konditorei where the strudel is exactly what strudel should be. There is no method in any of this, Feyerabend says. There is only this place, those people, this strudel, this question. Anything goes -- and from that anything, sometimes, comes something worth keeping.

Where is Everybody?
S02:E06

Where is Everybody?

Chicago, September 1954. Enrico Fermi is fifty-three and has just returned from teaching the summer school at Varenna on the Italian lakes. He still walks to the office at the University of Chicago every morning. He derived the statistics of half-integer-spin particles in 1926, calculated the theory of beta decay in 1933, built the world's first nuclear reactor under the squash court at Stagg Field in December 1942, and dropped scraps of paper at the Trinity test to estimate the yield of the first atomic bomb. He got it right to within a factor of two. From scraps of paper. The colleagues call him the Pope, not because he is infallible -- though they believe he is -- but because when disputes arise in the field, they are referred to him as if to a papal authority. Four years ago, in the summer of 1950, he was walking to lunch at Los Alamos with Edward Teller, Emil Konopinski, and Herbert York. They had been laughing about a cartoon in the New Yorker that showed little green men stealing trash cans. The conversation moved on. They reached the canteen, sat down, talked about something else entirely. And then Fermi -- out of nowhere, mid-sentence on a different topic -- said: where is everybody?Every person at that table immediately knew what he meant. The universe is older and larger than us by orders of magnitude. There ought to be other civilisations. There ought to be signals. Probes. Reasons to think we are not alone. There are none. Fermi did not phrase a paradox. He phrased a question. And the question -- once it is in your head -- does not leave.Last week Feyerabend told Paula that no single method has ever governed science -- that every rule was violated by the discoveries it was supposed to explain, and that reality exceeds every framework. Today Paula visits the man whose method was the smallest possible -- a pencil, a paper scrap, an estimate to within a factor of two, and the discipline never to mistake the framework for the world. Fermi made an estimate by dividing two numbers in his head and threw away anything that was not a power of ten. He taught his students at the University of Chicago to do the same: a Fermi problem is one you can solve to within a factor of two using nothing but reasoning and the back of an envelope. How many piano tuners are there in Chicago. How much energy is released by the fission of one gram of uranium. What yield should we expect from this bomb at this distance. Twelve and a half kilotonnes. The actual answer was twenty. Off by less than a factor of two. From paper scraps.The conversation moves to Chicago Pile-1. The squash court under the West Stand of Stagg Field. Three hundred and sixty tons of graphite, forty-five tons of uranium oxide, five and a half tons of uranium metal, by hand, by graduate students, in a city of three million people, with no shielding and no containment vessel. December second, 1942. The last control rod pulled at three twenty-five in the afternoon. The reaction ran for twenty-eight minutes and was shut down by the Italian navigator who decided he had seen enough. Arthur Compton telephoned James Conant. He said: the Italian navigator has just landed in the New World. Conant asked: how were the natives. Compton said: very friendly.The paradox returns. Fermi tells Paula he has no answer to his own question, only candidates. Maybe intelligent life is rare. Maybe it is common but short-lived. Maybe civilisations destroy themselves before they reach the stars -- and he has reasons to think about that, having helped build the device that makes such self-destruction possible. He wrote in October 1949, with Isidor Rabi, that the hydrogen bomb is necessarily an evil thing considered in any light, and the fact that no limits exist to the destructiveness of this weapon makes its very existence and the knowledge of its construction a danger to humanity as a whole. The General Advisory Committee report. Minority addendum. Fermi and Rabi signed it. Truman ignored it. This past April, Fermi testified for Oppenheimer in front of the Personnel Security Board -- the only press conference of his life, called to denounce the revocation of the clearance. Robert was wrong about some things; he was not a traitor.The episode closes on Giulio. In 1915, when Enrico was fourteen, his older brother Giulio died at fifteen from an anaesthesia accident during a routine throat operation. After the funeral, Enrico went to the secondhand book market at the Campo de Fiori in Roma and bought Andrea Caraffa's Elementorum Physicae Mathematicae of 1840, nine hundred pages in Latin, and read it from cover to cover. He did not say so at the time, but Segre wrote it down later: this is when Enrico decided to become a physicist. Paula puts it to him gently. He says: my brother died. The book was there. Maybe somewhere out there is a civilisation that lost a brother and found a book. Or maybe the silence Paula hears in the multiverse is the same silence he hears every day. He cannot tell her where everybody is. He can only tell her that the question, once asked, becomes the centre of everything.